Traffic Engineering
LYU Neng-chao, WANG Yu-gang, ZHOU Ying, WU Chao-zhong
Road traffic safety analyses and evaluation involve the entire process of road design, operation, maintenance, and reconstruction. The objective and content of road safety analysis and evaluation vary significantly in different stages and situations. Therefore, appropriate traffic safety analysis and evaluation methods must be selected for specific problems. To identify the characteristics and application of different road safety analysis and evaluation methods, in this study, four typical road traffic safety evaluation methods, including traffic crash statistics, vehicle operating speed, traffic conflict, and driving behavior analyses, were investigated. The characteristics and applications of different evaluation methods for data collection, characteristic indexing, modeling, and practical application, along with development trends, are summarized. In the literature, certain road traffic safety analysis and evaluation methods have formed relatively mature theoretical models and have been successfully applied to road traffic safety evaluations, such as methods based on traffic accident statistical and vehicle operating speed analyses. However, safety evaluation methods based on traffic conflicts and driving behavior have problems such as data sources and indicator consistency. There are still issues to be studied in the construction of data-sharing platforms, data integrity, temporal and spatial correlation of data, and analysis of data characteristics. The operational speed analysis method must be further studied in terms of precise data acquisition, model development and calibration, and zero-collision segment reliability threshold selection. In addition, traffic conflict analysis methods have unresolved problems in estimating conflict sample size statistics, estimating the construction of dynamic traffic conflict models, screening traffic conflict discrimination indicators, and assessing the impact of driver factors on traffic conflict modeling. Driving behavior analysis requires in-depth research on data collection consistency, collection time, and index consistency. Simultaneously, with the rapid development of intelligent and connected vehicles, more data related to road traffic safety operations may appear in the future, which may change our existing consensus on road safety analysis and evaluation methods and bring opportunities and challenges to the development of new road traffic safety analysis and evaluation methods. This review improves the understanding of theoretical systems of road traffic safety analysis and evaluation methods and enables the accurate evaluation of road traffic safety problems.