CAO Wen-gui, ZHAI You-cheng, WANG Jiang-ying, ZHANG Yong-jie
China Journal of Highway and Transport. 2012, 25(2): 90-99.
In order to improve traditional analysis method of collapse risk of tunnels, based on a comprehensive analysis of the risk factors of tunnel collapse, firstly, the authors identified the main influence factors and formulated a two-stage synthetic assessment model of collapse risk of mountain tunnel. Secondly, according to the features of coexistence between determinacy information and uncertainty information on evaluation indexes, they introduced set pair analysis theory to establish connection degree evaluation matrixes, which could comprehensively describe the relationship between evaluation indexes and risk ranks from three aspects of identity,difference and antagonism. Thirdly, considering the uncertainties of the importance degree of evaluation index, limitation of experts' recognition and difference of experts' evaluation result reliability, they formulated and calculated its weights based on the method of uncertain analytic hierarchy process of group decision. Finally, they developed set pair analysis method of collapse risk during construction of mountain tunnel. Analysis and calculation of the practical engineering show that the established set pair analysis method of collapse risk during construction of mountain tunnel is feasible and reasonable.