XIE Peng, WEN Hai-jia, HU Dong-ping
China Journal of Highway and Transport. 2018, 31(2): 106-114.
Earthquake-triggered landslides was a key factor influencing highway capacity in mountainous area. An accurate susceptibility mapping along highway was necessary for the adoption of proper preventive measures and normal operation of highway. In this paper, on the basis of geographic system (GIS) technology, logistic regression (LR) model was established to investigate susceptibility in an area of 8km around highway in Wenchuan Country and Lushan Country. In the process of research, firstly, based on triggering mechanism of earthquake-induced landslides, the research achievements and results of site investigation, thirteen main factors that influence earthquake-induced landslides were identified, including elevation, slope gradient, slope position, slope aspect, curvity, micro-landform, lithology, distance from streams, distance from faults, normalized differential vegetation index (NDVI), peak ground acceleration (PGA), distance from highways, and mean annual rainfall. Then, based on the geospatial database of Wenchuan Country, 10 sets of samples were trained by R software, and the LR model was developed. Finally, a map of the earthquake-induced landslides susceptibility classes for Wenchuan Country was obtained by dint of the ARCGIS platform. The susceptibility values of earthquake-induced landslides were divided into five categories, from very low to very high. The application in Lushan Country tested the validity and stability of the LR model, a map of the earthquake-induced landslides susceptibility classes for Lushan Country was obtained. The AUC values of the ROC curve for the model were 0.921 and 0.783 respectively, corresponding to Wenchuan Country and Lushan Country. The results show that the susceptibility map generated by the LR model is identical with the true distribution of earthquake-induced landslides, and the LR model is with high stability. Therefore, the LR model can be applied to predict the earthquake-induced landslides along highways in other mountainous regions with similar geological environment conditions.