GUO Lin, ZHOU Ji-biao, DONG Sheng, ZHANG Shui-chao
China Journal of Highway and Transport. 2018, 31(4): 270-279.
To collect the data of urban road traffic accidents effectively and analyze the time-space characteristics and the cause of traffic accidents, data of 37654 accidents in the district of Yinzhou, Ningbo in the fourth quarter of 2016, were collected by a smart mobile application (APP). In view of the drawback of the traditional K-means clustering algorithm, i.e., slow convergence and low accuracy, an improved K-means clustering algorithm was proposed to eliminate the influence of outliers on the clustering results and identify the accident black spots automatically. The results show that the effective accident data sampled based on the mobile phone APP account for 96.4% of the actual alarm amount, which can meet the requirement of the accuracy and quality for the accident data analysis; the change trend of each quarter over the last four years' accidents exhibits an obvious erratic change. The number of accidents between motor vehicles was the highest, followed by the accidents involving motor vehicles and non-motorized vehicles, and the proportions were 58.4% and 15.8% respectively. In terms of temporal characteristics, the number of accidents on a Monday is the highest with the rate of 15.4%, the lowest on a Thursday with the rate of 13.2%; in terms of space characteristics, the locations of road traffic accidents are primarily concentrated in the ground sections, road intersections, and parking lot, where the accident rates are 77.4%, 11.6%, and 7.0% respectively. The accidents that occurred in the residential area and the elevated road are relatively low, with the rates of 3.2% and 0.9% respectively. In terms of the cause of accidents, driving behaviors such as following the front car closely, turning a corner without avoiding straight vehicles, illegal lane changing, and speeding are the primary reasons for accidents between two motor vehicles, with the rates of 28.8%, 22.9%,15.6%, and 7.6% respectively. Turning a corner without avoiding the oncoming non-motor vehicles, running the red light of non-motor vehicles, occupying the wrong lanes, and reverse driving of non-motor vehicles are the primary reasons for accidents between motor vehicles and non-motor vehicles, with the rates of 36.6%, 16.6%,9.9%, and 7.3% respectively.