Forecast Method for Trip Distribution Based on Land Use and Trip Chain

LONG Xue-qin,GUAN Hong-zhi,ZHAO Xin,QIN Huan-mei

China Journal of Highway and Transport ›› 2014, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (1) : 107-112.

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China Journal of Highway and Transport ›› 2014, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (1) : 107-112.

 

Forecast Method for Trip Distribution Based on Land Use and Trip Chain

  • LONG Xue-qin1,2,GUAN Hong-zhi1,ZHAO Xin1,QIN Huan-mei1
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Abstract

In order to study the trip distribution between traffic zones according to the trip behaviors of the residents, forecast method for trip distribution was proposed based on trip chains, with the relationships among land use patterns, residents activities and urban transport considered. First, the model for the relationship between trip generation and land use patterns and population was established. Then the trip chain types were divided into 8 according to the trip purposes and sequences. After the trip chain was decomposed into different activities, according to the purpose and attraction of each pattern of land use in each trip, the trip distribution between two zones in a trip chain was determined. When all zones and trip chains were considered, trip distributions of all traffic zones were determined. At last, the results of the study were verified by an example. The results show that the average error between the forecast results and the actual data is 8.4%, which means the method is effective.

Key words

traffic engineering / trip distribution / trip chain / transport planning / land use

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LONG Xue-qin,GUAN Hong-zhi,ZHAO Xin,QIN Huan-mei.  
Forecast Method for Trip Distribution Based on Land Use and Trip Chain
[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2014, 27(1): 107-112

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